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- Telephone Service That Rings of the Future
- By Joshua Quittner. STAFF WRITER Newsday
- (Copyright 1992 by Newsday,Inc. Reprinted and posted by permission)
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- TO JOHN PERRY BARLOW, a point man for the computer culture, it's the next
- step in the "Great Work. The physical wiring of collective human consciousness
- _ the idea of connecting every mind to every other mind in fullduplex
- broadband."
- To Ohio Bell, it's a way for customers to have up to nine telephone
- numbers _ some for specific friends, some for the bill collectors _ for the
- price of one.
- This technological Rorschach test is called Integrated Services Digital
- Network. And not since the invention of television have so many people looked
- at one thing and interpreted it in so many different ways.
- Technically, ISDN refers to an architecture _ the software, hardware and
- protocols needed to deliver a mix of voice, video and data over a digital
- telephone network. This is important because it is a way of squeezing every
- bit of capacity out of the twisted pair of copper wires that the local
- telephone company runs into your house, bringing the kind of services that are
- usually associated with more expensive fiber optic cables.
- When Barbara Bush videoconferenced from the White House with children
- at a Baltimore hospital at Christmas, she was using an ISDN connection. When
- a group of Lawrence Livermore Laboratory scientists work at home, ISDN
- enables them to use their personal computers, without a modem, to tap into
- the lab network and get a data connection 27 times faster than normal. The
- Rochester Telephone Co. and AT&T recently completed an ISDN experiment in
- which phone company employees used ISDN to telecommute from their homes.
- With the lifting of restrictions that barred local telephone companies
- from providing information services, the Baby Bells are looking for ways of
- getting into the information business. Fiber optic cable, the hair-thin
- strands of glass that convey signals at the speed of light, is considered
- the ultimate way to transmit information services, both for its speed and
- high capacity. But the cost of deploying fiber has stalled it at curbside;
- telephone companies estimate it will cost hundreds of billions of dollars
- to extend it into homes.
- By using the existing copper wires that connect homes to local telephone
- companies, ISDN could be a far cheaper, more quickly available alternative, a
- "ramping up technology," to fiber, said Barlow. With software developer
- Mitchell Kapor, who is famous for the business spreadsheet program Lotus 1-2-3,
- Barlow founded the Cambridge, Mass.-based Electronic Frontier Foundation, a
- public interest group dedicated to defining and promoting the rights of
- computer users. The organization is lobbying for ISDN as the medium
- for an easy-to-access, national public network of computer users.
- Will ISDN stay where it is, mostly with businesses, or will it make the
- connection to people's homes? The answer depends on whom you ask.
- "I think we're at a critical period in the deployment of ISDN because
- up until now, it has not been possible to make an ISDN telephone call from
- the service area of one phone company to another," said Marvin Sirbu, a
- telecommunications expert and professor at Carnegie Mellon University in
- Pittsburgh. Sirbu said that ISDN gained momentum recently with industrywide
- agreements that created standards for equipment makers and service providers
- to interconnect nationally. That should occur by the end of 1992. It means
- that the 300 or so isolated ISDN islands will be able to talk to each other
- and the technology is almost certain to proliferate, at least between
- businesses, he said.
- BUT SIRBU discounted the EFF's notion of a public national network
- based on ISDN and said it was wrong to expect the telephone companies to
- deploy it for information services.
- "I have followed the trials and tribulations of home information services
- for more than 10 years," he said. "Everybody keeps saying when the
- technology gets cheaper it will be a big success or when the technology gets
- better it will be a big success. But I haven't seen any applications that
- would make this a big success in the home. The issues here are marketing
- issues and finding out what the right product is that someone wants at home."
- Commercial interest in ISDN seemed to peak in 1986, when McDonald's Corp.
- was the first business to try it out. (Two executives, two miles apart, spoke
- on the phone while looking at video images of each other and while
- transmitting a graphic of the Golden Arches onto their computer screens.)
- Though the technology spread to the rest of corporate and high-tech
- America, it did so slowly; uses were pretty much limited to a kind of
- advanced Caller ID option.
- For instance, if you call your credit card company's 800 number from
- home, chances are your name and records will pop up automatically _ before
- you even identify yourself _ on the computer screen of the customer service
- rep as he takes your call. With ISDN, a company can also tell if you called,
- were put on hold and hung up without ever speaking to a person; if they
- want to, they can call you back. It also allows them to note in their
- database that you speak only Spanish and automatically route you to a
- bilingual operator.
- The anticipated _ and current uses _ for ISDN run from the poetic to
- the prosaic.
- On the poetic end of the spectrum is the Electronic Frontier, which is
- pushing ISDN as the ideal platform for what has been dubbed the National
- Public Network. Barlow said that that network would carry, in addition to
- normal telephone calls, multimedia electronic mail, in which users could
- send a mixture of voice and video; personal faxes, software, games "and other
- media not yet imagined." The network, in his view, would be the ultimate
- expression of "global free speech," giving all users an unprecedented chance
- to interact.
- "We believe that ISDN, whatever its limitations, is rapid enough to jump
- start the greatest free market the world has ever known," said Barlow.
- ISDN can deliver data 27 times faster than a 2400-baud modem, the
- telephone-computer interface that most PC users use. It does this digitally,
- by creating two 64-kilobit-a-second channels that can be used for voice or
- data, and one 16-kilobit-a-second channel, on your phone line. With developing
- data- compression techniques, users could get a combination of voice,
- pictures, music and video. "Multimedia postcards," as Kapor put it.
- "Today, it's the case that you can do very high-quality picture phones over
- ISDN at very, very good quality," he said. "Compression techniques are
- continuing to evolve so it's reasonable to expect that we will have VHS-level
- quality" over copper wires.
- But, while more than 60 percent of the country will be ISDN-ready within
- two years, Kapor, Barlow and others worry that the telephone companies will
- do little with it for residential users, aside from offering their business
- customers _ where most of the money is for phone companies _ some ISDN services.
- "Telco mindset was developed in an era of highly centralized networks in
- which it took a decade of court battles to give you the right to attach a
- suction cup to your telephone," said Kapor. "Computer industry mindset,
- especially PCs, was born in garages and attics where teenagers, kids, and
- outsiders invented the Apple II and Lotus 1-2-3." So Kapor and the EFF has
- been trying to line up the support of computer and software manufacturers,
- among others, to lobby in Congress and among the public utility commissions
- state by state, for a more directed and speedy deployment of ISDN.
- Currently, there are some 300 ISDN "islands," each centered around
- discrete ISDN-equipped phone switches. No one knows exactly how many there
- are, nor how many users they serve, though the vast majority are dedicated
- telephone lines that run from telephone company switches to specific businesses.
- Though users within each island can interact using ISDN, they can not
- interact between islands because the companies that manufacture ISDN switches
- used different standards, and because there was no standard interface between
- the ISDN that a local telephone company uses, and the ISDN that a
- long-distance carrier uses.
- However, standards by Bellcore, the research arm of the Baby Bells,
- should bring all the switches into conformity by the fall of 1992.
- Stan Kluz, an ISDN expert at Lawrence Livermore, recently hooked the
- first group of ISDN users off site, into the laboratory's computer network.
- Kluz said that through this arrangement, 12 scientists who live near the
- University of California at Berkeley can use their computers at home, and have
- access to data at 64 kilobits a second.
- With speeds that fast, the scientists can manipulate huge amounts of
- data and see their problems displayed in three dimensional graphics on their
- home computers.
- Kluz sees the future of telecommunications and it is ISDN. He says that
- videoconferencing on all ISDN-equipped computers at Lawrence Livermore will
- be available soon; with nationwide interconnection agreements, he hopes to
- see "distance learning" in which a class in, say, nuclear physics, could be
- videoconferenced at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology to the computer
- of a Lawrence Livermore scientist, who can take part in the class. But Kluz,
- who also serves as president of the California ISDN Users Group, echoed Kapor
- and said that the phone companies aren't moving fast enough to create demand
- for the service.
- "They're not marketing it well," he said.
- NYNEX spokesman Joe Gagen _ as well as virtually everyone else
- interviewed for this story _ said residential ISDN is a classic chicken and
- egg problem. In order for people to want it, there have to be services. But
- information service providers won't proliferate until there's a
- demand. Gagen said that residential demand will grow as people become exposed
- to ISDN at work.
- "It's not going to happen overnight," said Colin Beasley, staff director
- of network planning at NYNEX. "My guess is that from an affordability and
- deployment point of view, you're probably talking about 1994-1995 before
- you'll see broad penetration into the [New York] residence market."
- ****
-
- Telephone Service That Rings of the Future
-
- ISDN has already penetrated New Albany, Ohio, where 16 ISDN-accessible homes
- have been built. The country-club-style development (median house price,
- $700,000) surrounds a Jack Nicklausdesigned golf course and, its
- developers say, is the first commercial application of residential ISDN.
- Neil Toeppe of Ohio Bell Telephone Co. said homeowners have the option
- of giving out up to nine telephone numbers from an existing telephone line,
- each with a different function. For instance, the number listed in a phone
- book could be programmed to run into an answering machine; a second line can
- be given out to friends, and ring only on telephones in designated
- rooms; a third number could be for the children's phone and it could divert
- to voice mail after 7:30 p.m.
- Within a year or so, residents will be able to have the local utility
- company monitor their thermostats, using the 16 kilobit data channel. That
- will let homeowners subscribe to a kind of power sharing agreement under
- which the power company will virtually control the thermostat in exchange
- for discounted rates. Other features will also be available _ as soon as
- someone figures out what they are.
- ****
- --
- josh quittner
- voice: 1.800.544.5410 (2806 at tone)
- quit@newsday.com
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